WTO members abolished quotas on trade in textiles and clothing
on 1 January 2005. As a result, prices are falling and major
Western buyers are narrowing their sources. On a global scale,
large Asian countries with vertically integrated industries are
becoming the world's leading suppliers. China in particular can
produce virtually any textile or clothing item at any quality and
cost.
Within supplier countries, there are signs of industry
consolidation. Larger companies are increasing production capacity,
often on the advice of their major customers. Small and
medium-sized firms (SMEs), on the other hand, face a shortage of
orders and some have already closed down.
It is not clear what will happen in many least developed
countries (LDCs) and small, vulnerable countries, with their
low-value products, fragmented industries resulting from past
reliance on quota protection and little regional cooperation. Since
textiles and clothing account for a high proportion of merchandise
exports and jobs - for example, 82% of merchandise exports in
Cambodia and 83% in Haiti and Lesotho - it means changing their
strategies to prevent serious economic consequences.
A changing market
Competition is sharper, with successful textiles and clothing
producers setting new standards of service.
- Mega companies or smaller, flexible
firms. Major retailers in the European Union (EU) and
the United States foresee mainly two types of suppliers from
developing countries. The first can be described as "mega
companies", with management headquarters in Asia and production
networks around the world. They use economies of scale to produce
mostly basic articles - such as t-shirts, sweaters, cotton
trousers, underwear and woven shirts - at low cost and in large
quantities. The other type are highly skilled and flexible
companies located near buyers, which could also benefit from
preferential market access. These firms can supply smaller
quantities of higher-value products at short notice. However, most
firms in LDCs and small vulnerable countries do not fit into either
category.
- Supplier has more
responsibility. Much of what the buyer arranged in
the past, the supplier needs to do today, offering a complete
package from design to sourcing of raw materials and delivery of
finished garments. However, most LDCs concentrate on the end of the
supply chain - offering only garment-making facilities - and rely
on buyers to provide yarn, fabric and accessories.
- Speed to market counts. The
time and cost of delivering a product to the store are becoming
more important. Labour and production costs are minor up to the
retail point. This is true for both supplier types. While the
commodity-type supplier will have to focus on regu-lar and timely
replenishment, the fashion-oriented supplier will have to emphasize
quick response to changing fashion trends.
Trade policy helped LDC exports
In the past, quota protection and duty-free access to rich markets
encouraged many LDCs to develop textiles and clothing exports.
Trade policy will continue to influence their export prospects.
Most importantly, LDCs will continue to benefit from preferential
treatment from WTO member countries. Sub-Saharan Africa's share of
the United States apparel market rose from almost zero to 2.2% in
2004. The reason was duty-free market access under the United
States' African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), combined with
relaxed rules of origin requirements that allowed countries to use
cheaper fabric from Asia for their garment exports. Jordan's
exports to the United States, or those of Bangladesh and Cambodia
to Canada, skyrocketed for the same reason.
Challenges to compete in future
Yet, sharper competition is eroding the protected status of LDCs.
As many companies are now realizing, even preferential access to
markets is not enough.
- Poor product and market
diversification. Most LDCs have only developed
exports in clothing categories that used to be highly protected
against Asian competitors. With the removal of quotas and despite
their duty-free advantage, LDC producers will have difficulty
competing with Asian suppliers. In sub-Saharan Africa, for example,
77% of all clothing exports under AGOA in 2004 were based on two
products: knit shirts and simple trousers. These are basic
articles, for which, for example, China's quota tariff equivalent
was almost 60%. This means that now the price of Chinese products
could drop by 60%.
- "Footloose" investors. Large
investments from Asian manufacturers characterize the sector in
almost all LDCs, except those in South Asia. They invested to avoid
quotas and to benefit from duty-free market access - but they could
leave any time if business is no longer profitable. News from
Lesotho in early 2005 suggests that this is already happening. LDCs
need to find ways to link local industries to foreign investors in
long-term partnerships.
Recommendations for firms
Firms in Central America and North Africa that are near North
American and European markets and benefit from preferential access
could focus on products where speed to market and flexibility are
important, provided they develop the necessary skills. But LDC
firms, far from their main markets, have to compete directly with
the evolving mega companies over "traditional" products. Therefore,
they need to make special efforts to increase
competitiveness.
- Take part in developing a sector
strategy. Firms, industry associations, governments
and other trade support players, such as banks, port handlers and
customs agencies, need to cooperate to develop a coherent strategy
for the sector. Strategies should take into account cross-border
cooperation with countries in the same region.
- Improve sourcing skills. Since
sourcing materials is the most important skill that buyers demand,
LDCs need to develop abilities in this area to be competitive.
Integrated industry and supply chains don't exist in LDCs and
investment to develop them is not forthcoming, so firms need to
look for alternative solutions, such as regionally integrated value
chains.
- Focus on higher-value products. LDC
firms need to diversify their product mix away from commodity-type
items. This involves knowing about the end buyer - it is only
possible to develop successful designs if one fully understands the
final consumer's tastes.
Most LDC clothing exports are made out of cotton, which
is relatively less protected than man-made fibre apparel. The
United States, for example, imposes an average 20% duty on imports
of cotton-knit shirts, but 32% duty on shirts of man-made
fibre.
To make the most of their duty-free access,
firms should therefore develop clothing exports of man-made fibre
and improve their sourcing skills to find man-made fabrics. Garment
production skills are not very different whether using cotton or
man-made fabrics. LDCs could also explore markets for "ethnic"
textiles or clothing.
- Benchmark. Companies need to know
their strong and weak points vis-à-vis their competitors.
- Use e-trade. E-facilitated trade is
becoming a prerequisite to attract buyers in textiles and clothing.
Manufacturers need to find innovative solutions on how to respond
to buyers' new "e" requirements - from computer-assisted design to
electronically-managed supply chains.
Increasing South-South cooperation
Developing South-South trade has three dimensions: selling to
developing country markets; sourcing intermediary products for
exports to developed markets; and building relations with foreign
investors. LDC businesses and governments should consider them all.
They should also look at the possibilities for technical
cooperation between developing countries in these areas.
- Explore emerging markets. There are
new trade opportunities in fast-growing developing countries. While
traditional markets - Canada, the EU, Japan and the United States -
still account for almost 80% of world imports, experts predict they
will grow only marginally. In contrast, the markets of larger
developing countries are growing very fast. India and China have
high growth and thus export potential. China is already the world's
fourth largest market for apparel, accounting for 5% of demand.
Brazil and South Africa also offer possibilities, although at a
lower level.
However, LDC exporters selling to other developing countries may
experience drawbacks, such as high tariffs (India's or Mexico's
average import tariff for textiles and clothing is 35%), unfamiliar
market structures and distribution channels, as well as different
cultural issues. To lower tariffs and improve market access,
effectively negotiating and using the Global System of Trade
Preferences among Developing Countries is an option. If larger and
more advanced developing countries give preferential market access
to LDCs, this could help them find new markets and partly
compensate for potential losses in traditional developed
markets.
- Source intermediary products in the
region. Intermediary products - fibres, fabrics and
trims - are available on world markets, but sourcing them from
nearby countries can provide shorter delivery times. In addition,
by working with neighbouring countries that benefit from
preferential market access, LDC firms can continue to sell final
products duty-free to the United States and EU under regional
cumulation rules. Jointly responding to market requirements for the
final product needs to be the central theme of such
cooperation.
As it is unrealistic to assume that individual LDCs will become
vertically integrated at the national level, they can look at
developing regional and even inter-regional value chains to exploit
complementarities (
see box). Trade in intermediary
products provides a lot of scope for technical cooperation between
developing countries. For example, Asian counterparts could help
African cotton producers to improve the quality of their cotton and
also to find new markets for it in Asia.
- Improve relations with foreign
investors. To stabilize investment in textiles and
clothing, LDCs need to develop long-term partnerships between
foreign investors, often from Asia, and local industry. They should
concentrate on win-win situations - in many cases, an answer is to
develop jointly local clothing training institutes. Local industry
benefits from a more skilled workforce and investors save costs by
recruiting qualified local staff instead of more expensive Asian
expatriates. Moreover, local middle management will be able to
communicate better with machine operators and other staff, which
will increase productivity and reduce the risk of labour
unrest.
The role of trade facilitation
Improving trade facilitation services would bring significant
gains to LDCs and also increase investor confidence. According to
World Bank estimates, the average customs clearance time for sea
cargo is more than ten days in South Asia and Africa, nine days in
Latin America and the Caribbean and only two days in developed
countries. China is setting new benchmarks in trade facilitation.
Its modern ports and fast customs procedures reduce domestic lead
time, while direct shipping services to all major markets optimize
sailing time.
Importing countries: More flexible rules of origin
To help LDCs maintain clothing exports, major import markets should
offer them non-reciprocal preferential market access conditions,
including rules of origin requirements that are easy to fulfil.
Canada's preferential scheme for LDCs or the "third country fabric
sourcing provision" under AGOA are good examples of flexible rules
of origin. However, the "double transformation" requirements under
the EU's Everything but Arms initiative or agreements with African,
Caribbean and Pacific countries do not improve market access. LDCs
do not have substantial textile industries to supply the fabric to
fulfil these rules.
Similarly in the United States, most preferential access
agreements stipulate "yarn or fabric forward" rules of origin. That
means everything from yarn or fabric onwards to produce the garment
needs to originate in the beneficiary country or the United States.
As US yarn and fabric are generally not competitive compared to
Asia, these requirements undermine ways to improve the
competitiveness of LDCs.
Price tag to compete
In order to tackle increasing competition successfully, LDCs need
to address the following areas:
- Firms need to gear up their efforts to take over
responsibilities along the textiles and clothing value chain.
- Firms and countries should accelerate South-South
cooperation to tap markets in other developing countries. Moreover,
increased intra-regional trade of intermediary products improves
competitiveness to jointly exploit traditional markets in the North
and to participate in global production chains.
- Look at closer regional cooperation to benefit as
much as possible from preferential and differential treatment. In
importing countries, meaningful rules of origin requirements can
increase LDCs' competitiveness and at the same time foster
South-South trade.
- Countries should address trade facilitation to create
the necessary enabling environment for business. If LDCs address
these areas carefully and quickly, the clothing sector could
continue to contribute to economic development and poverty
reduction. However, clothing exports might not develop into a major
sector in many LDCs, especially in Africa. These countries need to
diversify exports into other sectors until new opportunities emerge
in textiles and clothing.
Filling the fabric gap in Africacountries produce raw cotton and finished garments, but they
rarely have domestic textiles industries that transform cotton into
yarn and cloth on a scale that meets export needs. At present,
producing clothing is a better fit for LDCs, being labour-intensive
rather than capital-intensive. But filling the "fabric gap" in the
chain could help them reduce costs and boost their competitiveness.
Cotton growers, ginners, fabric manufacturers and clothing
manufacturers in different parts of the continent should consider
collaborating in a regional value chain, from cotton to clothing,
to offer competitive products to major markets.
a country exports US$ 5 billion in garments annually, creating a
local textile industry or attracting foreign textile investors is
feasible. However, for countries where these exports are less than
US$ 2 billion (the case for all LDCs except Bangladesh), building a
local textile industry or persuading foreign textile mills to
invest is difficult and costly. To benefit from economies of scale,
a vertically integrated textile industry has to serve many clothing
factories. Thus, even if they are located in different countries of
the same region and are competitors on the final market, clothing
factories need to cooperate closely to attract the necessary
textile investment.
bringing on board the final buyer of the garment proves a clear
commitment to establishing a textile mill. This situation begins to
resemble a joint venture between buyer and suppliers in a region.
Some importers, realizing the need to show their core suppliers
that they are serious about strategic relationships, are now
planning to invest in factory operations.While these more
progressive importers are not interested in owning
factories, they realize that a 10%-20% investment increases their
credibility with the supplier. This relationship between
cooperating suppliers and one or two major buyers, willing to buy
from them in a long-term relationship, could attract the investment
for a regional textile mill.
Another solution would be to develop inter-regional trade along
the cotton value chain. Firms in sub-Saharan Africa could export
cotton to Asia and import cotton fabrics back to Africa for exports
of clothing to Western markets under duty-free schemes, providing a
win-win situation for all participating countries.
ITC's technical assistance response
Sector strategy.
The "Shape", a ten-step thinking process to develop a national
clothing strategy, applied in two workshops; assistance to
implement strategies.
Benchmarking. The "FiT", a
software-based benchmarking tool for clothing manufacturers,
implemented through national associations, which receive training
to apply it; management of and access to global benchmarking
data.
Sourcing. Fabric sourcing textbook,
Source It - Global Material Sourcing for the Clothing
Industry; training workshops for associations and firms;
sourcing missions to
help firms diversify suppliers; regional databases of suppliers in
Association of Southeast Asian Nations and South Asian Association
for Regional Cooperation countries.
Market trends. New ITC textiles and
clothing web site; workshops about future competitiveness
requirements; product and market development activities in national
projects.
E-trade. A guide on e-business applications in
textiles and clothing trade; training workshops; advice on
tailoring solutions to meet buyer requirements.
South-South trade. Tailor-made
projects to promote South-South trade in final products; increase
trade in intermediary products; facilitate technical cooperation
among developing countries. Research paper outlining possible ITC
assistance to develop the cotton sector.
For more information, contact Matthias Knappe (knappe@intracen.org)ITC
Senior Market Adviser on textiles and clothing
or visit http://www.intracen.org/textilesandclothing
Organizations mentioned in this story: